How a Full Climate Impact Assessment can be used: Opportunities and Challenges

Select stakeholders of interest

1

Impact

The first category of opportunities relates to the positive, or negative, impacts in society that the company contributes to through different parts of its core business. This category of impact opportunities is important for two very different groups.
Innovation leaders
Companies, individuals in companies, and those supporting innovation, who are currently leading the development of disruptive innovations are the main target groups. This group is very eclectic, and while some know that they are important for sustainable solutions that deliver on human needs, many do not know how important they are, or could become. Many start-ups, including deep tech, already deliver important contributions to a more sustainable society, but do not use the need for sustainability as a driver and have almost never been acknowledged, as they operate in a society that very seldom looks for solutions based on human needs. Even companies that know that they deliver sustainable solutions often only know their impact based on product substitution, not the actual impact in society due to more sustainable ways to deliver on human needs. These companies and individuals can use the full climate impact to assess impact to help expand the climate innovation agenda.
Own emission reduction leaders (scope 1-3)
Companies, individuals in companies, and others who support companies in reducing their own reductions, i.e. those who currently only approach companies as sources of emissions, with a focus on reporting scope 1-3 emissions, is the second category of users. From this static problem perspective, the best a company can do is to focus on its own emissions and reach zero. With a full climate impact approach the goal is all of a sudden shifting to the needs in society and the possibility to link increased sales with a better future for people. Many leading CSR/ESG experts understand that the current limited approach is ignoring, and sometimes even undermining, the most important parts of the company’s climate innovation work. For these stakeholders, assessing impacts is an opportunity to expand the current risk innovation approach with a solution innovation approach.
Full impact mapping
Full impact mapping

Understand the full climate impact on society from the company with a focus on the products the company provides and what is needed in society

Most companies still only use tools and assessments that focus on their own emissions (scope 1-3) and do not assess the actual climate emissions in society. Only if the whole society was static, and the future would be the same as today with no new companies and no new solutions, would such an approach make sense beyond a risk perspective. The major change with a full climate impact assessment is that the focus now is on the impact in society, not the company itself, from different perspectives. With a full climate impact assessment, including an understanding of the impact on human needs and dynamic feedback mechanisms, it is possible to assess the full impact of the company in society.

Initially a full impact approach can be daunting in a compliance driven culture, where external reporting and risk management, rather than actual impact in society has been the focus for a long time. However, even a rough assessment of the different impact areas often helps companies identify areas that are orders of magnitude more important than their current compliance drive work. In addition, many companies realise that the current risk/reduction climate agenda is only one part of a full impact strategy that involves many more parts of the company. A focus on the core business and the possibility to link increased sales to increased positive climate impact provides the opportunity to engage not only new parts of the company, but also opens up for new interactions with other stakeholders, far beyond reporting consultants and offsetting organisations.

Assessment focus (Steps 1, 2, 3, 4)

An initial overview of the potential positive impacts in society requires all the four assessment steps, as such an overview will provide insights into new areas that most companies do not include in their current innovation and climate strategies. To view the need for globally sustainable solutions in society as an innovation driver, a focus on human needs and the inclusion of dynamic feedback mechanisms are still new areas of inquiry for most organisations, so surprises are almost guaranteed. An initial overview also allows many different parts of the company to engage and a new generation of innovation to flourish. Based on such an overview, different ways forward can be discussed.

link to current page
Cluster impact guidance
Cluster impact guidance

Identify ways to increase positive impacts in society through clusters

By shifting the focus from the internal emissions to the impact in society, the assessment allows for identification of potential collaborations that would increase the positive impact in society. An understanding of the clusters required to actually deliver on human needs is also established. By identifying the systems and clusters the solutions belong to when it delivered on human needs, it is also possible to explore new business areas, and new clusters of partners, that can move into new areas where positive impacts can be delivered.

A cluster including all the stakeholders relevant to deliver a solution, ranging from those with different technologies, legal advice, marketing and financing, to those on the demand side that are able to purchase and use the solution.

Assessment focus (Step 2)

The second assessment step helps the company to identify the clusters that are needed to deliver solutions in society. Rather than only comparing with other companies in the same sector, such an assessment provides insights into existing and possible new collaborations for increased positive impact in society. The second assessment step also helps to identify totally new ways to deliver on needs in society in ways that are beyond the current capacity of the company.

link to current page
Opportunity impact focus with focus on human needs
Opportunity impact focus with focus on human needs

Demonstrate links between increased sales, profit, and positive impacts in society

With much climate action focused on reducing costs, avoiding regulatory and reputational risks, the need for winners in a low-carbon economy is an opportunity driven approach, based on the assumption that new solutions are needed in society. Most companies have never done an assessment of how they can contribute to a future where 11 billion people can live flourishing lives, and especially not from an opportunity for growth perspective.

For any company, and especially start-ups, the possibility to engage with investors from a cluster and human needs perspective is also valuable. Likewise, many investors also benefit from an expanded climate and innovation agenda. Investors with a risk/ESG approach to climate can explore an approach where companies are solution providers. Investors with an innovation perspective can move beyond improvement in existing systems, or transformative solutions that undermine human needs, and explore how they can assess if the innovations they invest in make the world a better or worse place.

Assessment focus (Steps 2-3)

The second and third assessment steps allow the company to understand how it affects society from the perspective of human needs, rather than just providing a better version of a product that might be part of unsustainable systems. Currently a climate leader can use scope 1-3 reporting and deliver low-carbon solutions to coal power plants that are providing energy to construct new oil platforms, or solar panels to schools and hospitals, without the current assessments indicating any difference between these.

link to current page
Dynamic climate impact
Dynamic climate impact

Move from a static/incremental approach to a dynamic/transformative approach

Almost all tools and assessments today were created and designed for a world with slow and incremental changes. For most of the industrial revolution it was enough to assume that the next year would bring only gradual changes and just assume 2-5% annual changes. Today, the need for exponential uptake of sustainable solutions and a fourth industrial revolution brings disruption in many areas. The changes are not just technology driven, but business models, regulations, customer values as well as shocks to systems from pandemics, wars, ecosystem collapses, cyber warfare and social media are also accelerating disruptions in many ways. The paradox is that in our current world the safest short-term strategy is to stick to business as usual, while business as usual is also a guarantee of failure in the long term. So, with single-year budgets and initiatives, a business as usual strategy is the safest bet, but it is also the strategy that undermines the kind of innovation required for a sustainable future where 11 billion can live flourishing lives. Even a rough overview of different feedback systems and how the company contributes to those can help identify new impact opportunities and avoid static lock-in strategies.

Assessment focus (Step 4)

The fourth assessment step allows the company to understand its role in the fourth industrial revolution. By assessing the impact from the company’s products, its contribution to different infrastructures and institutions from a feedback perceptive, the company can identify ways to support accelerated uptake of sustainable solutions as well as find collaboration opportunities with likeminded stakeholders.

link to current page
2

Strategy

The second category of opportunities relates to the capacity to develop future proof strategies based on insights from a full climate impact assessment. Most companies still have a narrow product driven strategy with a focus on a few technological drivers. Most also assume linear change in a world that both requires and delivers exponential change in many areas. The strategic opportunities are of importance for anyone who is involved in developing strategies and particularly for five groups:
SMT
The senior management team can benefit from a full impact assessment as it provides an overview of many key trends and key stakeholders that will influence future revenue flows.
CEO-networks
CEO-networks that bring together CEOs from different sectors can use the full impact assessment to bring clusters from different sectors together and explore innovative ways to collaborate, in order to develop sustainable solutions for human needs. Many CEOs are trying to find ways to explore business opportunities in the 4th industrial revolution, and the need for globally sustainable solutions should be part of these discussions.
Boards
The board of directors can use the full impact assessment to understand the new landscape that the company operates in and move beyond classical metrics and sector approaches.
Management consultants
Currently many management consultants are more a part of the problem than the solution when it comes to an expanded climate innovation agenda. They often have teams dedicated to supporting companies in strategy development, but these teams usually ignore the opportunities companies might have as climate solution providers delivering on human needs. A reason for this missed opportunity is that companies tend to ask management consultants to help them as risk/report/compliance experts, and with few proactive management consultants they tend to reinforce the limited static problem agenda.
Policy makers
In most governments the approach to companies in the area of climate change is limited to a static reduction agenda, often based on sectors. Development of an expanded climate and innovation agenda is emerging and most organisations can apply a full impact assessment on the companies they engage with, as well as their own organisation as an enabler.
Below are five different strategy applications that a full climate impact assessment can support and inspire.
link to current page
Purpose driven strategy
Purpose driven strategy

Delivering on human needs in a sustainable way

The full impact assessment can support the development of purpose driven strategies in two ways:

First, to provide data and strategic options to those that are already purpose driven companies. It provides hard data regarding impacts on human needs in society, impacts that can be used to communicate with investors, suppliers and companies and different enablers that are not used to working with companies with goals beyond only the economic.

Second, to help those that are interested in becoming a purpose driven company. Many start-ups are very interested in exploring a purpose driven agenda even if they initially focus only on a specific technology without much consideration for the sustainability impact. This is particularly true for companies that realise that they have solutions in areas where society needs exponential growth.

Assessment focus (Step 3)

The third assessment step focuses on human needs and allows companies to understand how they can deliver on human needs in sustainable ways. To be able to quantify and assess the ways the company supports human needs can be a transformative event in itself, as most companies have intuitive ideas about their contributions to society that often turn out to be very wrong when actual data is collected.

link to current page
Expanded innovation strategy
Expanded innovation strategy

An opportunity driven innovation strategy for increased revenues and sustainability

In our society technological innovation is often the only innovation that is acknowledged. However, for many purpose driven companies the technological innovation is one part of a broader set of innovations needed to deliver globally sustainable solutions. A full impact assessment allows companies to expand from only technical innovation to also include areas like business model-, communication-, recruitment/HR-, and advocacy-innovation in their strategies. For many innovation driven companies the link to human needs also help guide investments and priorities in unexpected ways. Most companies still develop their strategies without actually knowing their impact in society, which is bizarre in a situation where there has never been more data available, and more need to direct our innovation towards sustainable solutions.

Assessment focus (Steps 2, 3, 4)

With a focus on the third assessment step, that focuses on how human needs are met and lifestyles are changed due to the company, it is possible to explore what is needed to accelerate the positive impacts, and avoid the negative impacts. How markets can change with communication innovation, and how business model innovation can deliver what is needed in clusters that must be built, are examples of areas where companies can explore an expanded innovation agenda. The second assessment step can help map the needs of different clusters, that can range from financial innovation to the need to attract new skills. The fourth assessment step can help companies to identify ways that they can support feedback mechanisms that support accelerated uptake of globally sustainable solutions which deliver on human needs.

link to current page
Exponential growth strategy
Exponential growth strategy

Delivering what is needed, not what most see as possible

Most companies assume growth strategies based on old business models and theories. Investors and enablers such as business model and digital consultants tend in a similar way to assume gradual growth rather than exponential. For many companies this still make sense, but those with the solutions society needs should think beyond that. With an assessment that shows how different solutions from the company are making the world a better place by delivering on human needs in a sustainable way, the company can identify exponential growth strategies in support of current climate and sustainable targets.

Assessment focus (Steps 3–4):

By combining the insights from the human needs based assessment in step 3 with the feedback assessment in step 4, the company can identify different exponential pathways for growth that deliver positive impact in society.

link to current page
Future secure strategy
Future secure strategy

A significant challenge in the area of assessments of climate impacts is the urge to identify rapid, and easy to assess, avoided emissions. These drivers often result in “high carbon lock-in”, i.e. a situation where fast and inexpensive emission reductions are achieved by investing in optimisation of fundamentally unsustainable systems. As many companies still approach climate change as a compliance, reporting risk area, it is especially important that they develop strategies that include assessment of their offerings from a human needs perspective.

For companies using the full climate impact assessment to develop a strategy for growth this is easier if investors, the board and SMT, understand the benefit of a strategy that is sustainable over the coming decades, rather than one that maximises short-term gains while locking the company into an unsustainable strategy where revenues are reduced over time. A serious assessment will show that the emission reductions achieved are part of the problem instead of the solution.

Assessment focus (Steps 3–4)

With a focus on human needs and an 11 billion filter, together with assessment of the feedback systems the company contribute to, a future secure strategy can be developed.

link to current page
Springboard strategy for global sustainability in an unsustainable society
Springboard strategy for global sustainability in an unsustainable society

Dancing with the devil towards a sustainable future for all

Many start-ups need to scale before they can find clusters that are delivering sustainable solutions, so they find themselves in a situation where they need to find markets to help them grow and scale, even if these customers are not the most sustainable. In most areas, from energy and mobility to garments and nutrition, many of the dominating companies are unsustainable and many actively undermine sustainability, so scaling without being part of the problem is almost impossible.

By exploring exponential growth paths from a globally sustainable perspective with the full impact assessment, a springboard strategy for global sustainability can be developed. These springboard strategies focus on maximising the positive impact through a rapid scaling strategy that often includes initial collaboration and sales to unsustainable customers. A springboard strategy for global sustainability often requires sophisticated investors that focus on the impact in society rather than the often simple metrics used today to assess investments.

Assessment focus (Steps 2–3):

By using assessment step 2 and 3 it is possible for companies, in collaboration with the right investors and enablers, to map out a springboard strategy for global sustainability.

3

Stakeholder interaction

Many of the challenges today are hard to address as our society, in structure and thinking, to a large extent is stuck in structures that were created for another era. The full impact assessment encourages stakeholder interaction with a focus on globally sustainable solutions for human needs. Most strategy tools and experts still focus on optimising existing systems and use a static problem approach when it comes to the climate challenge, if they even acknowledge one of the most important drivers at all in the strategy development process.
Discussions beyond optimisation of existing systems are often very vague and conducted by people who seem to think that workshops and reports are more important than actual results in society. With its focus on human needs and clusters, the full climate impact assessment can provide guidance for those who want to explore a new generation of collaborations with a focus on impact in society.
All organisations, and especially intrapreneurs in different organisations, can explore a full climate impact assessment to identify new and relevant collaborations.
Cluster identification/ attraction/ building
Cluster identification/ attraction/ building

Identify and build relevant clusters for growth and impact

The first step to build tomorrows stakeholder relations, beyond existing bilateral and value chain relations, is to understand what current, and potential future, clusters that the company can belong to in order to deliver on human needs in a sustainable way. Assessment steps 2 and 3 provide a great combination to assess the clusters the company is involved in today (2) in delivering on human needs, and tomorrow (3).

Assessment focus (Step 2–3)

link to current page
Investor identification/ attraction
Investor identification/ attraction

Identify, invest in, and grow intangible assets

Assessment steps 2 and 3 allow for many different dialogues. One relation that is often problematic today is the one between companies and investors.

The second and third steps in the assessment allow progressive companies to show traditional investors the value of a purpose driven strategy, but also for purpose driven investors to support traditional companies to move in a purpose driven direction. Instead of a simple bilateral discussion the company/investor discussions can be expanded to clusters based on delivering on human needs and possible synergies in different investor portfolios.

The second step can also provide insights into possible clusters of tomorrow with a focus on human needs, something that can help companies build strategic partnerships, and investors can build impact driven portfolios. Currently most investors are sector focused and do not assess impact in society. Hence, before a full climate impact assessments becomes truly relevant for the investor they often need to develop a strategy were the core business is linked to positive impact in society.

However, even if a specific investor is not focused on positive impacts in society, or not even interested in climate change, a full climate impact assessment, from a purpose driven company, can help to explain the economic potential to an investor that is used to only assessing based on classic sector criteria, where the product in isolation is the only factor they know how to assess.

Assessment focus (2, 3)

link to current page
Enabler Identification/ attraction
Enabler Identification/ attraction

Support in filling in the gaps with the right network

Enablers such as management consultants, legal firms, PR agencies, etc. can use assessment steps 2 and 3 to better understand how to support purpose driven companies, or companies that might benefit from becoming purpose driven.

The full climate impact assessment was developed together with, and especially for, enabling companies providing solutions as they are needed for transformative system change. While most enablers have been start-ups the full climate impact assessment can also be used by established enabling companies, such as management consultants, legal firms, PR agencies and event organisers, to assess their impact.

As enabling companies often help shape rules, regulations, business models and values in society, the fourth step is of particular importance.

Assessment focus (Steps 2, 3, 4)

link to current page
Customer identification
Customer identification

Finding the right markets for the right company

With leading strategic customers, including large companies and regions/cities, also exploring an expanded climate innovation agenda, the potential for mutual benefits are significant. But the majority of customers are still either not paying much attention to climate change, or just looking for reduction in existing systems. Step 2 and 3 assessments can identify those that are caught in high-carbon inefficient systems and low innovation agendas.

Assessment focus (Steps 2–3)

link to current page
Staff identification/ attraction
Staff identification/ attraction

Building the company of tomorrow with the right staff

The potential to identify both the clusters today and the potential clusters of tomorrow allow the company to identify the skills that are relevant. By being engaged in new exciting clusters and being able to demonstrate current and future positive impact, the company also becomes a magnet for leading talent.

Assessment focus (Steps 2, 3, 4)

link to current page
4

X-factor

In a time of rapid change and need for transformative system solutions there must be space to explore the new and unknown. Too often, sustainability initiatives are built on ideas that only support improvement in existing systems, which makes it very hard to embrace a disruptive agenda. The full impact assessment addresses exponential change and disruption. In addition, it is structured to identify and assess different feedback mechanisms that can allow the company to lead disruptions, instead of only being surprised by them.
All of the below areas are enabled by assessment steps 3 and 4.
While anyone can support and be active in the below areas, it tends to be a smaller group of purpose driven, and more risk willing, that move from talk to action in these areas. How the existing stakeholders, especially those that claim they support innovation, can support action in these areas is important as they tend to be ignored or marginalised when innovation support is developed.
link to current page
Explore blue ocean opportunities
Explore blue ocean opportunities

The capacity to identify potential clusters of tomorrow, based on the actual human needs that ultimately drive demand, rather than only assessing trends related to different product groups. With the urgent need for sustainable ways to deliver on human needs, companies can use step 3 to find new low-probability, high-impact solutions that can be part of blue ocean strategies.

link to current page
Attract and engage transformative staff
Attract and engage transformative staff

The leading companies of the future need the leading staff of the future. Assessment step 3 allows companies to find those that are at the forefront of delivering on human needs in the areas most relevant to them. By establishing the company linked to human needs they also become attractive to leading people that care about actual impact. For the companies at the bleeding edge, assessment step four allows them to engage in transformative and disruptive processes, as well as understand the drivers behind them. This opens up opportunities to recruit the next generation of positions in companies.

link to current page
Lead agenda setting processes
Lead agenda setting processes

Where only technological innovations that optimise existing systems are in focus. By using assessment step 3 to explore new ways to deliver on human needs, and especially step 4 for feedback systems, the company can identify processes that are part of shaping tomorrow’s society.

link to current page
Move from simple incremental solutions to difficult transformative solutions
Move from simple incremental solutions to difficult transformative solutions

While the majority of resources, most of the time, will be on ensuring that current offerings meet the current demand, this is not enough to stay competitive. Providing products that fit in existing systems is easy, and sometimes important, but the important innovations require much more than this.

5

Warning

Using the assessment as part of the scope 1-3 emissions compliance/ risk agenda
Using the assessment as part of the scope 1-3 emissions compliance/ risk agenda

The idea with the full climate impact assessment is to support companies in becoming solution providers by providing strategic guidance. The need for solutions that provide for human needs in a sustainable way should be seen in the context of companies as active organisations that through their activities contribute, or undermine, different futures. This should not be mixed with compliance reporting, and often has no place near classical ESG/CSR reporting.

In most cases it is better to keep the climate opportunity agenda separated from the climate risk agenda, as most of the staff and those engaged in scope 1-3 work are stuck in a static problem approach.

Recommendation: Use the total impact assessment internally as part of the strategic work to identify new revenue streams, business model innovation and the potential to be a purpose driven company. Often it helps if the initial work is done without any external communication, to ensure that the focus is on core business, and keep a distance from the traditional compliance/reporting work. Once a climate opportunity strategy is in place, synergises with the climate risk strategy/scope 1-3 work can be explored.

link to current page
Cherry pick solutions for communication
Cherry pick solutions for communication

To strategically pick solutions to assess their positive (or negative) impact in society is often a first step towards an expanded innovation agenda. Such an assessment can show the order of magnitude impact and help shape a new strategy for companies. As many companies’ climate work is dominated by staff with responsibility for reporting and PR, rather than the core business and the strategic direction of companies, i.e. the parts where the most significant impact in society and business innovation lie, it is, however, important to state the obvious: Do NOT use a total impact assessment to cherry pick a few solutions where the maximum positive impact can be found and then communicate these, and absolutely do NOT mix these avoided emissions in society with the scope 1-3 emissions.

Recommendation: Focus less on traditional marketing and more on establishing credible and strategic relations with stakeholders that are interested in your company as a solution provider.

link to current page
Use for climate snapshot assessments
Use for climate snapshot assessments

As much of the current climate work is driven by risk/compliance, much of the work is also looking backwards. The main benefit with a full climate assessment is to direct and support a strategy for the core business that is linked directly to human needs in society. Only assessing current contributions is therefore less important and runs the risk of being used for communication efforts rather than strategy.

Recommendation: Focus on the direction of the company, rather than where it is, or has been. Use the total impact assessment as part of the strategic work and link it to key metrics such as increased sales in key markets, exponential growth of key solutions and new partners in support of a purpose driven approach. Use the assessment to assess how future secure the current business strategy is.

link to current page
Link total impact assessment to offsetting
Link total impact assessment to offsetting

The one activity that is probably furthest away from the purpose with a total impact assessment is offsetting. The drivers, knowledge, goals, etc. are all different. This has led to the paradoxical situation that “avoided emissions” are used in two very different cases.

To describe activities that are linked especially to offsetting, including forest projects generating emission rights for polluting companies.

To describe when a new low-carbon solution is substituting an older, more carbon intensive solution, with the result that emissions are reduced in society at the source of the problem.

“Reporting/communication offsetting” and “sustainable impact in society from the products a company provides” are two very different approaches that should not be mixed. The first is for those that only focus on the emissions from the company (scope 1-3), not the delivery on sustainable solutions to human needs and only see companies as a problem where the best they can do is to reach zero. If a company only cares about communication, they might even buy extra offsetting and claim that they are “climate positive”, while selling fundamentally unsustainable products such as fast-food meat burgers or fast fashion, promoting over consumption. The second approach is for those that see a role for the company to deliver what society needs and contribute to a future where 11 billion can live flourishing lives.

Recommendation: Develop a strategy with a focus on improving the actual impact in society and human needs through the core business, and keep this separate from (creative) accounting relating to the company’s own emissions (scope 1-3) and use of offsetting.

link to current page
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.