Full Climate
Impact Assessment

System of use and delivery on human needs: Healthy meals

At the system level, healthy meals are in focus, with the bases cases including proportions of different meal types, including a high meat diet, a baseline average diet based on consumption in developed countries, a 50% reduced meat diet, an octo-lacto vegetarian diet, and a classic vegan diet. A shift towards the baseline average is assumed to occur in 2030, followed by a shift to reduced meat, and non-meat diets in 2100.

In the counter factual / innovation case, some meals are assumed to shift to fungi-based protein from Mycorena. Under a 1.5 °C compatible scenario, avoided emission are approximately 15 MtCO₂e per year in 2030, and 5 million hectares of land use per year are avoided.

Impact on human needs and flourishing lives

Based on assumption of future production of Promyc, the number of people who can be fed with Promyc protein is estimated, and less than half of these are assumed to be inspired to make other lifestyle changes, leading to more flourishing lives, with a shift from a Western average lifestyle to a EU average lifestyle for the majority, and more sustainable lifestyles for a smaller subset, leading to avoided emissions of 23 MtCO₂e per year in 2030.

Influencing society, it’s values and structures

Product feedback may be very weak initially, but developed by 2030 to a very strong low-carbon feedback, through the development of healthy meals in collaboration with clusters of partners.

Infrastructure feedback may lead to weak low-carbon feedback initially, due to a high energy reliance, however there is a potential for this to become very strong low-carbon feedback by 2030, as net-positive energy factories can be produced.

Institutional feedback may provide strong low-carbon feedback already in the short-term as advocacy work for a 1.5 °C / half-earth compatible future can be supported by Mycorena a leading stakeholder in nutrition.